October 6, 2021
Impacts, mitigation, and trends
6 minutes
By Andrew D’Alessio and Jarek Klimczak
With few outlets for entertainment during the COVID-19 pandemic, consumers spent less and saved more. Now that the economy has largely reopened, pent up consumer demand (boosted by the stimulus) finally has a place to go.
Unfortunately, shippers are struggling to meet that demand due to logistical challenges and increased costs. Critical links in the supply chain face a backlog of orders and a lack of available containers. Consumers are largely bearing the brunt of these challenges through higher prices.
As a global insurer of ocean cargo, AXA XL can help businesses mitigate these risks. While physical loss or damage to cargo can be insured, intangible consequences of delayed product or not being able to bring lost or damage merchandise to market is not insurable.
The inability to meet fulfillment deadlines poses reputational risk to shippers. They may lose market share to companies who can pivot more quickly. And the erosion of brand loyalty potentially impacts future sales.
Transporting goods in defective or unsuitable containers could result in damage or loss, rendering cargo unsellable and likely to be rejected upon delivery. In cases where goods were improperly packed at origin, the recovery against marine cargo insurance policies could be compromised depending on the terms of the policy and degree to which packing suitability deviated. Should coverage apply, the insured may incur a deductible and expend significant resources submitting claim documentation.
And that’s not all.
Faced with another COVID-19 surge, transporters will likely contend with more reductions in their workforce, further compounding these challenges. With the holiday season approaching we expect increased container shipping. Unfortunately, these challenges will get worse before they get better. Some published reports project capacity restrictions, rising prices, and labor shortages continuing well into 2022.
AXA XL recommends that shippers implement the following best practices:
Marine Cargo will navigate through a number of significant challenges as 2022 approaches. Four trends in particular are likely to put added pressure on the marine cargo marketplace and supply chain.
1. Reduced supply of cargo containers.
Demand for goods has outstripped the supply of available cargo containers. Stockpiling of household goods and lockdown-induced online shopping sprees drove a surge in demand for goods that mostly travel by sea. Worldwide, about 170 million cargo containers account for 90% of goods shipped.
That lead to congestion at ports all around the U.S. – the world’s largest importer – hindering the usual turnover rate of containers.
Matters were made worse when the Ever Given, a 400-meter-long cargo ship, became stuck in the Suez Canal in late March, causing a 400-ship pileup and a chokehold on upwards of 4 million containers.
Unavailability of containers has contributed to months-long delays and increased prices of new containers, rendering shippers unable to transport goods on time without incurring significant expense.
2. Increased shipping costs.
Production of new containers is largely controlled by three Chinese companies — CIMC, DFIC and CXIC — which manufacture around 80% of the world’s containers. While production is projected to jump by 6-8% in 2021, it likely won’t be sufficient or fast enough to meet rapidly growing demand.
The crunch on capacity means new containers come at a premium. A year ago, the average cost of a new container was $1,800. Today, it’ll run about $3,500 – a 94% increase. Shippers able to absorb that cost will still have to wait three to four weeks for their new container, on average.
Overall shipping costs are also increasing at a steady rate, driven by inflation as well as rising fuel costs. Some data shows that shipping costs per container rose by $6,000 just between April and August of 2021.
3. Staffing shortages
Labor shortages across the marine industry exacerbate pressure on the global supply chain. Illness and quarantines have forced many workers to the sidelines, and low vaccination rates among marine cargo laborers haven’t helped.
According to the International Chamber of Shipping, only 2.5% of the global maritime workforce was vaccinated as of July 2021. Restrictive travel and changing requirements to receive vaccinations in home countries have stalled efforts to boost that percentage.
Delays at ports and increased demand also mean longer hours and more stress for both ship and dock workers, which may drive some to leave the industry altogether.
4. Lax adherence to quality standard
The strain on shipping companies is driving increased error rates, either due to overstretched workers, lack of oversight, or simply cutting corners to get cargo on the move on time.
Shippers report receiving containers with higher rates of visible defects, including holes, dents or faulty latching mechanisms. Refrigerated units are arriving low on fuel, at improper temperatures and in need of maintenance, indicating companies are sacrificing integrity to commence shipments.
When containers are unavailable, shippers are turning to riskier alternatives like tarped open-top containers or breakbulk, in which goods that cannot fit in standard shipping containers are instead transported in loose bags, boxes, crates, drums, barrels, or other handling equipment. These methods are inferior to containers and should be avoided.
Final thoughts
Ports in California are currently facing record backlogs of cargo. News outlets and retailers are advising consumers to start their holiday shopping early. Consumers are growing anxious waiting for furniture and appliances orders made last year. From all directions, the cargo and logistics industry is under pressure to deliver.
While these challenges will not subside overnight, boosting risk management efforts, especially loss prevention protocols, can provide a strong degree of protection against cargo and financial losses.
About the Authors
Andrew D’Alessio is AXA XL’s Head of Ocean Cargo in the Americas. Jarek Klimczak is a Master Mariner and Senior Account Consultant Marine – Americas, AXA XL Risk Consulting
Global Asset Protection Services, LLC, and its affiliates (AXA XL Risk Consulting
) provides risk assessment reports and other loss prevention services, as requested. This document shall not be construed as indicating the existence or availability under any policy of coverage for any particular type of loss or damage. AXA XL Risk. We specifically disclaim any warranty or representation that compliance with any advice or recommendation in any publication will make a facility or operation safe or healthful, or put it in compliance with any standard, code, law, rule or regulation. Save where expressly agreed in writing, AXA XL Risk Consulting and its related and affiliated companies disclaim all liability for loss or damage suffered by any party arising out of or in connection with this publication, including indirect or consequential loss or damage, howsoever arising. Any party who chooses to rely in any way on the contents of this document does so at their own risk.
US- and Canada-Issued Insurance Policies
In the US, the AXA XL insurance companies are: AXA Insurance Company, Catlin Insurance Company, Inc., Greenwich Insurance Company, Indian Harbor Insurance Company, XL Insurance America, Inc., XL Specialty Insurance Company and T.H.E. Insurance Company. In Canada, coverages are underwritten by XL Specialty Insurance Company - Canadian Branch and AXA Insurance Company - Canadian branch. Coverages may also be underwritten by Lloyd’s Syndicate #2003. Coverages underwritten by Lloyd’s Syndicate #2003 are placed on behalf of the member of Syndicate #2003 by Catlin Canada Inc. Lloyd’s ratings are independent of AXA XL.
US domiciled insurance policies can be written by the following AXA XL surplus lines insurers: XL Catlin Insurance Company UK Limited, Syndicates managed by Catlin Underwriting Agencies Limited and Indian Harbor Insurance Company. Enquires from US residents should be directed to a local insurance agent or broker permitted to write business in the relevant state.